Decoding The IPO Euphoria: Pros and Cons Of It
Shrenikbhai Shah, an individual stock market investor wears a grim look these days whenever he is dragged into a conversation by his friends on recent IPOs and profits made thereafter. Shah though applied for subscription of over half-a-dozen IPOs in last less than six months, unfortunately could end up being allotted only less than 50 shares from six applications submitted under through his bank. At times he blames his fortune, sometimes he believes there are some loopholes in the allotment systems not allowing him to get more shares and in few occasions he even prayed before his favourite God on the listing day seeking his divine intervention for more stocks allotted in his account. Nothing has worked really so far. There are thousands of individual investors like Shah around us in these days of IPO hoopla. Here we make a sincere attempt to discuss in detail almost every possible aspect related to IPO allotments, investment on the listing day, wiser decisions evolving IPO applications and other pros and cons.
FY16 remained an IPO centric financial year and its magic will continue to enthral the investors in FY17 also. Q1FY17 was a magnificent quarter and laid a red carpet for investors. Under such a rosy scenario, one must understand few things which we discuss hereon.
BREAKTHROUGH IN IPO APPLICATION:
Primary markets have witnessed a virtual outcry during 2016. The IPO activities heated up when the companies were striving to come up with public offers amid much responses from investors. Out of 13 companies listed in the bourses IPOs since January this year, 12 have been listed at a premium making investors smile broad. The companies together have raised `9300 crores as against `1200 crores raised in 2013-14 and `13600 crores raised during the entire year in 2015.
Where every day a new application is hitting the primary market, efforts are being taken by market watchdog SEBI to make the IPO listing process viable. One of the biggest revolutions so far is the launch of ASBA, where investors don’t need to lock their money in IPOs but just block in their banks till allotment.
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WHAT, WHY, HOW OF ASBA?
ASBA (Applications Supported by Blocked Amount) supplements the traditional method of issuing cheques for making payment in an IPO application. Several IPO scams had shaken the stock markets in the past where shady operators disgorged illegal gains made by locking the applicants’ money and delaying the recovery on non-allotment.
ASBA is authorised by SEBI to block IPO applicants’ money in the bank account, which gets debited only if application is selected for allotment of shares.
ASBA forms are either available in the designated branches of nationalised banks acting as Self-Certified Syndicate Banks (SCSBs) or electronically accessible through internet banking facility. Investors receive a counterfoil once the forms are submitted with the respective branches. ASBA application forms are different from the regular ones used for issuing among public. The withdrawal of bid process has also been made easy where the withdrawals made during the bidding period gets deleted immediately and the money gets unblocked. Investors need not have a DP account with the SCSB, when they are submitting the ASBA forms.
To make the availability of ASBA forms easy, investors can download the forms from BSE or NSE website which bears a unique application number formulated to avoid duplication. As of August 2016, 58 banks are SCSBs under the ASBA facility. Applicants just have to fill the details at the respective SCSB and instruct banks to block the amount. The same information is then uploaded on the bidding platform by the banks.
Before 2008, ASBA was mandatory only for the non-retail investors. However, effective May 2010, all investors whether QIBs or retailers can apply for ASBA where maximum of five applications per issue can be filed from the same bank account. Only the anchor investors who make an application of minimum of 10 crores in an IPO are not allowed to apply through ASBA. The bids received are then reflected in the demand graphs of the stock exchanges. One can also easily withdraw a bid through ASBA before allotment and get the application money unblocked by respective SCSB.
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SHORTCOMINGS
ASBA has helped to eliminate the delays of refund process of the unallocated shares. However, ASBA comes with few shortcomings which are likely to be addressed soon.
Still not much retail, specifically the small investors’ participation in IPO is seen through ASBA. A large pool still prefers to invest through the brokers by issuing cheques.
In case of compulsory ASBA, brokers will have to obtain separate Power of Attorney for operation of bank accounts from clients, for these accounts, which would be a tedious process.
Alternatively, brokers will have to open multiple bank accounts since the current norms only allow for up to five applications per bank account per issue.
Moreover, if the investors’ banks do not fall under the SCSB list, then they will have to open a separate account in the SCSB instead of their regular brokerage accounts. To add to it not all branches of the SCSB will have the ASBA facility available with them.
Regular bank employees are made to serve clients on ASBA where they become reluctant to do this extra task. Some of the employees are not even properly trained in the related matter. Eventually, if the brokers receive applications and decide to send the same to different SCSBs, the time and transportation charges would increase and would lead to the timeline lapse as the listing time is now reduced to six days.
However, the over subscription numbers suggest that the new system of ASBA is working well. As a matter of fact, SEBI is constantly regulating and making amendments in the IPO listing mechanism as and when required. ASBA has been made compulsory for the applicants. To augment the submissions, SEBI has allowed Registrar and Share Transfer Agents (RTAs) and Depository Participants (DPs) to accept physical and online application forms.
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HAPHAZARD SELECTION STILL IN PRACTICE
Retail investor is the one who applies for any IPO with a capital not exceeding `2 lakhs. Retail investors are seen actively participating in IPOs in the recent years leading to over-subscription in almost all scrips. Investors mostly prefer to invest in retail category through multiple folios in the names of their family members to ensure allotment.
Earlier, before 2013 more than 67 per cent of the issues traded at a discount price and the retail investors who had submitted bids with larger lots got stuck as there were no takers and thereby those retail investors were allotted maximum shares. Regulators thereafter feared that the retail investors may not come again if they lose money in the primary markets. The launch of ASBA and other norms by SEBI that reduced the issue costs and time of the investors led to higher participation.
In the process of IPO listing, once the broker receives the applications from firms, QIBs, NIBs and retail investors, the brokers place “buy” orders and issue an order confirmation slip to the applicants. The broker can collect as much as 100 per cent of the application money from the clients and deposit the same money in an Escrow Account with the clearing house of the bank.
The weightages are already decided as per the guidelines of SEBI and thereby the percentage of the offer is allocated to the various categories of applicants. For instance, not less than 35 per cent of the offer is usually made available for allocation to the Retail Individual Bidders in the book build issue.
The application details are drawn out, before the technical rejections, wherein the number of shares, amount and the number of times the subscription received is calculated. On rejection if there exists any under subscription in any of the categories, the other categories receive an opportunity. However, sometimes there is over subscription till the time the IPO issue opens. Bids at the cut off price of the scrip, which had been subscribed are selected for final allotment. Other applicants whose bid price does not match the cut off price, are automatically screened out of the total.
The over-subscription ratios are calculated as against the shares reserved for the categories in the company’s offer document. The ratio then becomes applicable to the number of shares applied to as against that of the allotted ones. The distribution to retail investors is done proportionately but to the QIBs is done on a discretionary basis by the post-issue lead manager.
There is no thumb rule for final allotment. Ultimately, who will get what within the category is randomly done on a lottery basis irrespective of number of allotments received by the individual retailer. No regulator can control the situation in case of over-subscription. According to the new practice, mostly the retail investors who apply for lesser have a higher chance of getting subscribed for allotment of shares. The only solution can be to limit the number of applications on the first come first serve basis or limit the number of times subscribed. SEBI is trying its best to bring down the time gap between the offer and listing to put a check on the speculative activity and thereby avoid volatility.
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PERFORMANCE OF IPO AGAINST SENSEX
IPO index has performed quite in alignment with the benchmark index. The Sensex has increased by 11.53 per cent against the IPO index that has risen by 16.08 per cent from the start of FY17 till date.
REASONS FOR MORE TRACTION IN IPO
Handsome returns :
From last two years, BSE IPO Index has surged more than double, beating the 25.79 per cent annual gain in the Sensex. From start of FY17 till date BSE IPO index has increased by about 16.08 per cent, outperforming the BSE Sensex which has risen by 11.53 per cent.
PE exits:
On the global front, the US equities are also banking on new initial public issues. The waiting list for new issue approvals exceeds 800 in China, according to the China Securities Regulatory Commission's website. The exit route for PE investors of most of the companies are IPOs. During the first half of 2016, private equity investors sold stake of `3000 crore which was higher than `2340 crore during the year 2015.
Strong demand: The strong demand from individuals for particular IPOs gives a rising oversubscription ratio in recent issues. During Q1FY17 IPOs such as Quess Corp’s and Advanced Enzymes’ subscription ratio stands at 144.5 and 116.91 respectively; and they have provided listing gains of 57.41 per cent and 35.04 per cent respectively. Meanwhile, there is no guarantee that oversubscription has always led to big bang listing.
L&T Infotech, a unit of the largest engineering company, observed its shares drop below offer price on listing day. IPO of L&T Infotech has been subscribed about 11.69 times.
Do you look at IPO investment on its listing day?
If you miss IPO allocation on bidding, then you may think of buying such stocks on their listing day. As on an average IPOs have given listing returns of 21.36 per cent from issue price. Contrary to that, if you have bought IPOs on listing day then average returns stand at 26.2 per cent for Q1FY17 period. We have analysed IPOs for last one year and have concluded that buying IPOs on the listing day can also be profitable.
Monte Carlo Fashions, Adlabs Entertainment, MEP Infrastructure and UFO Moviez have disappointed investors so far. Overall, 65 per cent IPOs have performed consistently for the period of last one year. The share price of Manpasand Beverages has increased more than double. The valuation of Wonderla Holidays, Shemaroo Entertainment, PNC Infratech has risen more than 50 per cent since last one year.
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Upcoming IPOs in FY17
Insurance Companies IPOs:
The department of financial services is working out on the valuation of the four public sector general insurance companies. IPO of New India Assurance Company will be the first to hit the markets during FY17. United India Insurance, Oriental Insurance Company and National Insurance Company are other government-owned general insurance companies, the IPOs of which may follow later.
Exchanges’ IPOs :
BSE is going to list on the exchange during FY17. BSE may look to raise `800 crore through its IPO. The Exchange has already appointed Edelweiss Financial Services as the lead merchant banker and AZB & Partners and Nishith Desai Associates as legal advisors to the issue.
On the financial front, BSE has reported a 40 per cent increase in its consolidated net profit at `52.72 crore for Q1FY17 on a yearly basis. The exchange’s total income has risen by 15 per cent to `165.42 crore in Q1FY17 as compared to same period in previous financial year.
National Stock Exchange of India (NSE), the operator of India’s largest bourse is also looking for raising money from the primary market. NSE too is looking for overseas listing by April 2017. It would file a DRHP by January 2017. This will give an exit opportunity to institutional investors such as State Bank of India (SBI) (holds 10.19 per cent); Life Insurance Corporation of India (10.51 per cent); Goldman Sachs (5 per cent); Tiger Global (3 per cent); and Citigroup Strategic Holdings Mauritius (2 per cent).
ICICI Prudential Life Insurance Company has also filed a DRHP with SEBI for an IPO and will raise about `5000 crore from the primary markets. ICICI Bank will sell 12.65 per cent stake in its subsidiary ICICI Prudential Life Insurance Company.
To match steps with the other listed peers in the telecom sector, Vodafone India’s IPO is expected to hit the markets in Q1FY18 to raise nearly 17-18 thousand crores. The money will be spent to reduce debt and make spectrum payments. Meanwhile, the company is trying to finalise the blueprint by November. Nearly seven bankers have been appointed to bring investors on board.
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CONCLUSION
IPO market has always remained investor centric. It has been witnessing more subscriptions on all of the categories including retail. We have seen filing of IPOs, ASBA and the historical performance of listing of IPOs. Meanwhile, a large number of IPOs has given strong returns even after the listing days. Investors should also look at the newly listed stocks which are giving handsome returns within a short period of time. However, in recent days, the street is creating hype over every single IPO, whether deserving or not. Hence, one also needs to look at IPOs which have been listed at a high premium, but eventually have given negative returns to the investors in the near term.